The Forecast of the World Renewable Energy Development Till 2020
Abstract
There are quite a lot of forecasts of renewable energy development in whole and its different kinds. The principal forecasts are developed by IEA, BP, IRENA, EWEA, WWEA, ISEA and some other institutions. Many of forecasts prefer a remote prospect – years 2030, 2035, and 2050. Probably it is assumed that the forecast for 2020 will be achievable with great probability. However, famous programs experience of “Wind Force-10” and “Wind Force-12” in which the problem of achieving a wind power share in the world overall electricity production by 2020, respectively 10% and 12%, was set, means that such forecast is too optimistic as already now it is clear that these results are unachievable. On the other hand, IEA forecasts concerning renewable energy share in 2020 in world electricity production are considered to be too pessimistic. The realization of the forecast offered by the authors seems to be the most probable.
Keywords
Forecast, Program, Renewable energy sources, Electricity production